Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Election Analyisis

I want to just tell you something that I learned that interested me. I averaged the polls for the remaining states, and here are the results:
Clinton: 44.8%
Obama: 45.2%

Notes: I did not count polls before April 1, 2008 or Pennsylvania, which was projected for Clinton while I was doing this analysis.

These numbers are a little bit misleading, because a.) several states (2) were not included because they did not have polls that were recent enough; and b.) some states are several months away. Also, PR is not included, and it may have a major influence.

I may update these numbers as more polls come and more primaries come.

A note on Pennsylvania:
A majority is techinacaly a win, but it does not mean the most delegates.

Soon, I will do a electoral vote analysis of who won more electoral votes.

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